notes/10 - Projects/CSC/Chapter 7/Expectations Theory.md
2026-03-30 03:23:09 -04:00

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Markdown

Under Expectations Theory, the shape of the yield curve tells you what the market thinks rates will do:
- **Upward sloping (normal)** → rates expected to **rise**
- **Downward sloping (inverted)** → rates expected to **fall**
- **Humped** → rates expected to **rise then fall**
- **Flat** → rates expected to **stay the same**
The yield curve is essentially the market's collective forecast for future interest rates.